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Wyckoff's Closing Grains: Corn Closed Lower

18 June 2014
Jim Wyckoff Commentary -  TheCropSite

US - July corn futures closed down 2 cents at $4.39 Tuesday.

Prices closed near mid-range and hit another four-month low early on today. Very good growing and crop conditions at mid-June for U.S. corn are still very bearish. The corn bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a steep four-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Corn bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $4.50. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at $4.30. First resistance for July corn is seen at today’s high of $4.41 1/2 and then at $4.45. First support is seen at today’s low of $4.35 1/2 and then at $4.30. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

July soybeans closed down 23 1/2 cents at $13.98 1/4 a bushel Tuesday. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a 2.5-month low today. Very good growing weather and very good crop conditions in the U.S. Corn Belt are bearish for soybeans, too. Bean bears have the near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a steep three-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. The next near-term upside technical breakout objective for the soybean bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at this week’s high of $14.35 1/2 a bushel. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing prices below solid technical support at $13.75. First resistance is seen at $14.10 and then at $14.20. First support is seen at today’s low of $13.95 3/4 and then at $13.90. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.

July soybean meal closed down $12.10 at $450.30 Monday. Prices closed near the session low today and hit another 2.5-month low. The soybean meal bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at this week’s high of $472.30. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $435.00. First resistance comes in at $455.00 and then at $460.00. First support is seen at $450.00 and then at $445.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

July bean oil closed up 18 points at 39.68 cents Tuesday. Prices closed nearer the session high on short covering. The bean oil bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the bean oil bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 40.00 cents. Bean oil bears' next downside technical price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of 38.29 cents. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of 39.80 cents and then at 40.00 cents. First support is seen at 39.35 cents and then at today’s low of 39.05 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

July Chicago SRW wheat closed up 3/4 cent at $5.81 3/4 Tuesday. Prices closed near mid-range and hit a more-than-four-month low again today. The wheat bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a steep five-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Wheat bulls’ next upside breakout objective is to push and close Chicago SRW prices above solid technical resistance at $6.00. The next downside price breakout objective for the wheat futures bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the January low of $5.57 1/4. First resistance is seen at $5.90 and then at this week’s high of $5.94 3/4. First support lies at today’s low of $5.76 3/4 and then at $5.70. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5.

July HRW wheat closed up 4 1/4 cents at $7.12 1/2 Tuesday. Prices closed near the session high and saw short covering in a bear market. The wheat bears still have the firm near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at last week’s high of $7.45. The bears' next downside breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $6.90. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $7.19 3/4 and then at $7.25. First support is seen at today’s and last week’s low of $7.02 and then at $7.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0

July oats closed down 4 1/2 cents at $3.38 1/4 Tuesday. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a three-week low today. Bears have the near-term technical advantage. Bears' next downside price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at the May low of $3.26 1/2. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at $3.60. First support lies at today’s low of $3.36 and then at $3.34. First resistance is seen at $3.40 and then at today’s high of $3.43. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

TheCropSite News Desk

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%): 1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.



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