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Wyckoff's Closing Grains: Corn Closed Higher

Wyckoff's Closing Grains: Corn Closed Higher

11 September 2014
Jim Wyckoff Commentary -  TheCropSite

US - December corn futures closed up 2 cents at $3.46 1/4 Wednesday.

Prices closed nearer the session higher and saw tepid short covering in a bear market. Prices Tuesday hit a contract low. Bears are still in strong overall technical control. Traders are awaiting the monthly USDA supply and demand report on Thursday. That report is expected to be bearish. There are also some frost concerns for the northern U.S. Corn Belt later this week. Corn bulls' next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at this week’s high of $3.58. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid support at $3.25. First resistance for December corn is seen at $3.48 1/4 and then at $3.50. First support is seen at today’s contract low of $3.43 and then at $3.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0

November soybeans closed up 2 cents at $9.94 3/4 a bushel Wednesday. Prices closed near mid-range and hit another contract low today. Tepid short covering in a bear market was featured. Traders are awaiting the monthly USDA supply and demand report on Thursday, which is expected to be bearish. There are also some frost concerns for the northern U.S. Corn Belt later this week. The soybean bears have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 15-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. There are no early clues of a market bottom being close at hand. The next near-term upside technical breakout objective for the soybean bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at this week’s high of $10.28 a bushel. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing prices below solid technical support at $9.50. First resistance is seen at $10.00 and then at $10.08 3/4. First support is seen at today’s contract low of $9.90 and then at $9.80. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0.

December soybean meal closed down $1.40 at $337.30 Wednesday. Prices closed near the session low and closed at a new contract low close today. The soybean meal bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at this week’s high of $351.60. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $330.00. First resistance comes in at today’s high of $341.50 and then at $344.20. First support is seen at today’s contract low of $337.00 and then at $335.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0

December bean oil closed up 17 points at 31.88 cents Wednesday. Prices closed nearer the session high on tepid short covering after hitting another contract low early on today. The bean oil bears still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 2.5-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. The next upside price breakout objective for the bean oil bulls is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 33.00 cents. Bean oil bears' next downside technical price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at 31.00 cents. First resistance is seen at 32.00 cents and then at 32.26 cents. First support is seen at today’s contract low of 31.52 cents and then at 31.25 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0

December Chicago SRW wheat closed down 6 1/2 cents at $5.21 Wednesday. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit another contract low today. The wheat bears have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Traders are awaiting the monthly USDA supply and demand report on Thursday, which is not expected to be bullish. There are also some frost concerns for the northern U.S. spring wheat regions later this week. Wheat bulls’ next upside breakout objective is to push and close Chicago SRW prices above solid technical resistance at $5.50. The next downside price breakout objective for the wheat futures bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $5.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $5.29 1/4 and then at $5.42. First support lies at today’s contract low of $5.19 1/4 and then at $5.10. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0.

December HRW wheat closed down 7 1/2 cents at $6.15 1/2 Wednesday. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a contract low today. The wheat bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at $6.40. The bears' next downside breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $6.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $6.23 1/2 and the at this week’s high of $6.31 1/4 First support is seen at the contract low of $6.15 and then at $6.10. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0

December oats closed up 8 3/4 cents at $3.57 3/4 Wednesday. Prices closed near the session high and closed at a 13-month high close today. Bulls have the near-term technical advantage and gained fresh upside momentum today. Bears' next downside price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at $3.37 1/4. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at the August high of $3.60 3/4. First support lies at $3.51 and then at $3.50. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $3.57 3/4 and then at $3.60 3/4. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

TheCropSite News Desk

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%): 1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.



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