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Lower Ukrainian Barley Crop Could Help UK Exports

Lower Ukrainian Barley Crop Could Help UK Exports

27 November 2014
HGCA

UKRAINE & UK - The total planted area for barley in Ukraine fell by 16 per cent this year in comparison to 2013/14 according to the Agricultural Ministry.

While much of this is due to the loss of the Crimean Peninsula, plantings decreased noticeably elsewhere too.

Barley crop conditions are the worst that have been seen in the past three years, with only 75 per cent of the planted area having emerged as of 20 November.

The lowest levels of emergence have been seen in Odesa and Mykolaiv regions where over 50 per cent of the Ukrainian winter barley crop is grown.

Around 30 per cent of the planted area in these regions has been reported as being in weak and sparse condition; furthermore, it has been reported that half of the area could be lost to winter-kill (UkrAgroConsult).

Currently, in 2014/15 Ukraine is forecast to export 4Mt of barley, equating to 17 per cent of total global exports (see below).

With further unfavourable weather forecast for Ukraine in November, optimism is not rife for harvest 2015.

Any decrease in production for Ukraine, could present an opportunity for the UK and EU to increase their share of global barley trade next season.

With a large UK barley crop this season and an increased area forecast for 2015/16, an increase in UK exports could lend some support to prices.

TheCropSite News Desk



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