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Beware of the Barley Bears

Beware of the Barley Bears

27 April 2015
HGCA

CANADA - In the latest crop report from Statistics Canada, 2015/16 planting intentions revealed a possible 10.2 per cent (0.2Mha) increase in the area planted to barley in Canada, estimated at 2.6Mha.

Further potential increases in planted areas were also seen for wheat (0.1Mha), maize (grown for grain, 0.03Mha) and oats (0.1Mha), whereas a fall is expected for the national soybean area (0.03Mha).

Although the barley area is expected to be higher year on year it follows a long term declining trend and will still be the second lowest area seen in the past 10 years.

If area forecasts are realised and good yield levels are achieved, an increased level of barley production could result in a higher level of exports from Canada and consequently a larger volume of barley on the global market next season.

Canada is forecast to account for 5 per cent of global barley exports in 2014/15. The total volume of barley on the global market in 2015/16 will be mainly determined by production and export levels in both Europe and Australia, the two leading barley exporters who together share 50 per cent of the barley export market.

TheCropSite News Desk



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