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New Markets Information, Brazil's Infrastructure Issues and Water, Water, Water

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TheCropSite
Wednesday 27th March 2013.
Sarah Mikesell - TheCropSite Senior Editor

Sarah Mikesell
Senior Editor


5M

New Markets Information, Brazil's Infrastructure Issues and Water, Water, Water

Brrrr… even for the Midwest, it sure doesn’t feel like Spring was officially sprung last week.

I’ve got an exciting new addition to talk about on TheCropSite. Jim Wyckoff is now providing daily grains futures commentary for TheCropSite, including an overnight market activity update, Where are the Grain Stops, and daily closing comments. His daily technical info charts tell a story in themselves and are a must-see. Plus, Jim will offer a weekly forecast via video every Monday.

You can view Jim’s comments every day at the top of the news section or if you click on the Jim Wyckoff banner under our markets section on the home page, it will take you right to our Jim Wyckoff hub page and you can see all of Jim’s comments, charts and videos.

Jim has spent nearly 30 years involved with the commodity, stock, financial and currency markets. And it didn’t take Jim long to realize the successful people in every market—be it pork bellies, Treasury bonds or stock index futures—had a common thread among them: nearly all relied on technical analysis to give them an edge. So Jim studies the traditional supply and demand fundamentals of the market place and combines his technical analysis to make his recommendations.

I’m really excited about adding Jim’s commentary to TheCropSite and hope you’ll check it out. I’ve known him for many years – he was my boss when I covered the livestock and lumber futures markets from the floor of the CME – and I believe you’ll learn some incredibly insightful information from him.

Now on to the news… Brazil’s record soybean harvest has had an earlier than expected downside – severe port congestion has ships waiting 40 to 50 days to load. And late last week China said it will cancel about 2 million tonnes of Brazilian soybean cargoes due to the delays. However, several analysts speculate that falling soybean prices have come into play.

As for the port congestion, more than 100 ships were waiting at the Port of Paranagua in southern Brazil. And this isn’t the first year that ports have experienced delays, it’s usually just happens closer to June.

My question is: Could no one see this train wreck coming? A record Brazilian soybean harvest and a drought in the US and no one added any additional port loading capacity over the past year?

On a separate note, Friday, March 22 was World Water Day — a day to focus on the importance of global freshwater resources. Globally 1.2 billion people — almost a fifth of the world — live in areas of physical water scarcity, while another 1.6 billion face what can be called economic water shortage.

The situation is only expected to get worse as population growth, climate change, investment and management shortfalls, and inefficient use of existing resources restrict the amount of water available to people.

It is estimated that by 2025, 1.8 billion people will live in countries or regions with absolute water scarcity, with almost half of the world living in conditions of water stress.

To watch a great (and short) video that highlights the world’s water issues, click here

Have a great week!


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This Weeks Articles and Analysis

‘Land Grabbing’ Redistributes Global Water Resources
Under pressure from rising food prices, many nations have begun to acquire large tracts of agricultural land in foreign countries, a practice known as ‘land grabbing’.

Brazil's Agricultural Structure, Sustainable Intensification of Food Production
Food production ought to be almost duplicated by 2050 (The Royal Society 2009; Baulcombe 2010). However, there is a consensus about the urgent necessity to increase food production while reducing the environmental impact of agriculture (Ash et al. 2010; Baulcombe 2010; Godfray et al. 2010; Tollefson 2010).

Monsoon Failure Key to Long Droughts in Southwest North America
Long-term droughts in the Southwestern North America often mean failure of both summer and winter rains, according to new tree-ring research from a University of Arizona-led team.

New Tool to Map Pollinator Exposure to Pesticides
As bee populations decline, exposure of pollinators to pesticides is of increasing concern. Italian research has now demonstrated that an index of exposure which accounts for insect behaviour, as well as pesticide application, provides a valuable tool for assessing the realistic risk of pesticides to pollinators.

Soil Salinity - Causes and Management
Salt affected soils are soils that contain either enough soluble salts to impair crop growth - called saline soils, or enough sodium to impair crop growth and affect the physical quality of soil - called sodic soils.


Market Reports

Australian Weekly ABARES Report - 21 March 2013
USDA GAIN: Ecuador Grain and Feed Annual 2013
UK January Agricultural Price Index - 21 March 2013
Irish CSO: Agricultural Price Indices - January 2013
USDA GAIN: Mexico Grain and Feed Annual 2013
USDA GAIN: Turkey Oilseeds and Products Annual 2013
China Wholesale Prices - 22 March 2013
IGC Grain Market Report - 21 March 2013
USDA GAIN: Malaysia Oilseeds and Products Annual 2013
USDA GAIN: Uruguay Oilseeds and Products Annual 2013
USDA GAIN: Japan Grain and Feed Annual 2013
USDA GAIN: Thailand Grain and Feed Annual 2013
China Wholesale Prices - 25 March 2013
Europe Mars Bulletins Vol. 21 No. 13
USDA GAIN: Thailand Weekly Rice Price Update - 25 March 2013
NAB Rural Commodities Wrap - March 2013

Global Crop Industry News

   China

Chinese Agrifood Prices Continue to Fall

   United States

New Waterway Bill Addresses Critical Needs
CME: Corn Futures Closed Higher Wednesday
Survey Sees Higher US Corn, Bean Acres Planted This Spring
Fuel Mandate Blamed for Growing Global Political Unrest
CME: Corn Futures Trading Slightly Lower Thursday
Understanding the Continuous Corn Yield Penalty
Difficulties to Transport Soybeans in Brazil Push Up Prices in US
GeoGrain: Basis Levels Slump on Slowing Demand
Planting Tip: Planter Adjustments for Dry Soil
USDA Grain Review: Grain Bids Higher
CME: Corn Futures Closed Lower Friday
Grains: Where are the Stops?
Jim Wyckoff's Monday Closing Grain Market Update
Allendale's Quarterly Grain Stocks and Prospective Plantings Estimates March 2013
CME: Corn Futures Closed Higher Monday
Promoting Safe Use of Seed Treatments
2013 Corn and Soybean Acreage and Yield Prospects
Grains: Where are the Stops?
Jim Wyckoff's Tuesday Closing Grain Market Update

   European Union

NFU Responds to Latest CAP Talks
Copa-Cogeca Announces Results on Water Management Solutions
Latest CAP Discussions Hailed as 'A Step in the Right Direction'

   United Kingdom

New Large Square Balers from John Deere
2013 Budget 'Will Help Farmers'
Resilience, Safety, Security of Food Imports Highlighted in Report
Permission Sought for GM Wheat Trial Extension

   Global

Importance of Sustainability Growing for Food Industry
Grain Hedge: Cyprus Spoils Outside Market Rally, Grains Remain Resilient
Looming Threat of Water Scarcity
Jim Wyckoff's Morning Report: Cyprus Bailout Agreed
Jim Wyckoff's Weekly Grains Forecast
International Call for Crop Improvement Projects Launched
Jim Wyckoff's Morning Report: Cyprus Bailout 'Template for Future'

   Netherlands

Study Highlights Strong Anti-cancer Properties of Soybeans

   Philippines

Census of Agriculture, Fisheries Ongoing

   India

Research Shows India Oilseed Production Increase from 1980s

   Malaysia

Soybeans Remain Top US Oilseed Export to Malaysia

   Canada

Storms Increase Canada's Soil Moisture

   Uganda

Losing Wetlands to Grow Crops

   Brazil

Brazilian Export Issues Threaten Market Ties

   Korea, South

South Korea's Price-driven Market Ready to Rebound

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