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TheCropSite Newsletter - 3 July 2012

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The Crop Site

Tuesday 3rd July 2012.

Sarah Mikesell - TheCropSite Senior Editor

Sarah Mikesell
Senior Editor

Editorial: Welcome to TheCropSite Newsletter

Weather… yep, we all know it's driving not just the US market, but global markets as well. So how about some good news?

Last week, Drew Lerner, meteorologist and president of World Weather, Inc., offered his global weather forecast during the Allendale Inc Ag Leader monthly webinar series. Lerner told farmers that if El Niño develops as expected, the end of July into August should bring some significant weather changes in a number of areas around the world.

For July and August, Lerner anticipates a wetter bias in parts of the world as El Niño kicks in:
  • Mexico's drought continues to be a concern as it is likely to perpetuate itself with below average precipation.
  • In July, south central Russia will be a little less dry, but August will turn wetter than normal.
  • New dryness is evolving in southeastern Europe in the month of July, but August will bring wetter conditions.
  • In July, Australia will continue to get good precipitation indicating near to above average precipitation levels, but will turn dry in August.
  • China's dryness issues will get better in July in the heart of the north China plains, but in August, new areas will turn dry.
Soil moisture has been low in the north China plains for the last 4 or 5 weeks, but Lerner expects the dryness will slowly fade, with late July bringing rain.

The Black Sea and Caspian Sea regions have been critically dry for weeks, and it is going to stay that way until the El Niño phenomenon fully kicks in.

In the Ukraine, there isn't much topsoil or subsoil moisture, resulting in their corn crop suffering as well as sunseed, wheat and sugar beets. He expects some timely showers will begin in July, but the precipitation will likely come too late for many crops in the lower Volga River Basin where the worst of the drought has prevailed the last three years.

El Niño events tend to cause India to have poor summer monsoonal rains, Lerner said. This could have a negative impact on some of the monsoonal performance, meaning the oil seed and coarse grain areas could end up with a restricted amount of rain.

Lerner said it's been exceptionally wet in southern Brazil, delaying the second season corn harvest and even some of the wheat has been damaged because of the moisture.

"However, in northeastern Brazil the drought got an early start and is still very serious. Sugarcane, citrus and coffee crops are still being negatively impacted.

Lerner said Brazil should have more moisture to work with in the near-term, but could run dry later in the year if El Niño matures.

Lerner said El Niño should bring an increase in the rainfall in the western US and a continuation of below average precipitation in the eastern Midwest, especially in the lower eastern Midwest and the southeastern states. This might actually help the soybean crop, but it will obviously be too late for the corn crop.

To read the complete US weather forecast, click here. To read more about Lerner's global weather forecast, click here.

Have a great week!


Expert Shares Global Weather Outlook
An agricultural weather expert says if El Niño develops as expected, the end of July into August should bring some significant weather changes in a number of areas around the world, writes Sarah Mikesell, senior editor TheCropSite.com.

Scientists Say Brazil's Congress Has Proposed Laws Risking Environment
Scientists convening at the largest-ever meeting of tropical biologists congratulated Brazil for its global leadership on environment and science, but warned that recent developments could jeopardize that position, undermining progress on reducing deforestation, protecting indigenous lands, and safeguarding ecosystems outside the Amazon rainforest.

Is the Long Ethanol Boom Coming to a Close?
US ethanol production has increased rapidly since 2006, reaching about 13.95 billion gallons in 2011.

Nutrient Deficiency an Issue with Corn, Soybeans
This season, many climatic and soil factors are causing problems with corn and soybean growth. Sometimes plants also exhibit nutrient deficiency symptoms, write John Sawyer and Antonio P. Mallarino, Iowa State University Department of Agronomy.

Researchers Discover New Weapon Against African Crop Pests
A team of scientists has made a novel discovery that could provide a new strategy for controlling armyworms and other insect crop pests around the globe.




   Colombia

Colombia Reduce Corn Imports
Colombia Agriculture Minister Highlights Importance of Grain Security

   United States

Weekly Roberts Market Report
CBOT Battles Traders Over New Grain Price Settings
CME: Corn Balance Sheet Could be Minimal or Negative
CME: Livestock and Poultry Reports to be Released
CME: Corn Futures Closed Higher Monday
CME: Corn Futures Closed Higher Tuesday
CME: Corn Futures Closed Higher Wednesday
CME: Corn Futures Closed Lower Thursday
CME: Corn Futures Closed Higher Friday
North America: Time to Pollinate - Where's the Rain?
Cargill to Build Feed Mill in Bovina Texas
Purdue Survey: Farmland Purchases Expected to Continue
Whitefly Infestations Reported in Northern Illinois Soybean Fields
Adoption of Advanced Techniques Could Propel Crop Improvement
Drought Could Cost Farmers with Future Delivery Contracts
New Bayer Seed Treatment Available on Pioneer Soybeans
Purdue Extension Starts Website for Information on Drought
No Big Surprises in USDA Grain Stocks, Acreage Reports
Considerable Uncertainty About Corn Supply & Demand

   Canada

Prairie Crop Development Ranges from Normal to Ahead of Normal
Canada Wheat Down, While Corn at Record Levels
Harper Government Supports Canadian Wheat Board

   Australia

Forum Continues Conversation with Australian Agri-Finance Sector
Investments Aim to Crack Wheat’s ‘Tough Nuts’
Winter Watching A Winner for Stored Grain
Carbon Tax will Increase Farm Costs by A$3.2 billion
Liberals, Nationals 'Fail' Australian Farmers

   European Union

Auditors Organic Report - A Model for EU Regulation?

   United Kingdom

£2.6M Investment to Increase UK Soil Sustainability
EU Seminar Spells Out Common Agricultural Policy Reform Risks
Food Standards Body for Scotland
Farming's GHG Action Plan Delivers

   Spain

Grains Develop Under Challenging Weather Conditions in Spain

   General

EU Signs Trade Agreement with Colombia, Peru
EU-Vietnam in Free Trade Negotiations
Iberian Peninsula Faces a Difficult Weather Season
Expert Shares Global Weather Outlook
UK Winter Cereal Crops Do Well Despite Unusual Year
Good Yield Forecast for Winter Crops in Italy, Slovenia

   Egypt

Egypt Cotton Area and Exports Revised Down

   Thailand

Thai Domestic, Export Rice Prices Decline Further

   Germany

Average Conditions but Low Soil Moisture in North, East Germany

   Poland

Poland Weather Favourable for Spring Crops

   France

Promising Outlook for France Winter Crops

   Peru

Agricultural Figures Boosted by Grain, Rice Production

   Sri Lanka

Old Irrigation Systems Revived to Fight Sri Lanka Drought
Sri Lanka Rice Exports Temporarily Suspended

   Ukraine

Ukraine Corn Exports on the Rise

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