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Pakistan Wheat Production Down 5 Per Cent

02 April 2012
USDA Foreign Agricultural Service

PAKISTAN - Pakistan's wheat production in marketing year (MY) 2012/13 (May/April) is estimated at 23.0 million tons, down five per cent relative to previous year's record harvest of 24.2 million tons.

Wheat area harvested is witnessing a declining trend and has decreased by five per cent during the last two years.

Last year, the government of Pakistan (GOP) procured 6.4 million tons of wheat from the local production, but has yet to announce a procurement target for this year's harvest.

Trade sources estimate that Pakistan exported 1.5 million tons in MY 2010/11 and around 800,000 tons in MY 2011/12. Wheat exports in MY 2012/13 are forecasted at 300,000 tons mainly to Afghanistan.

Pakistan's wheat prices are presently ten per cent higher than the world prices and the GOP is considering a proposal for subsidising wheat exports.

During 2011, Pakistan experienced floods for the second year in a row. But unlike 2010 catastrophic floods, 2011 flooding was localised and restricted to lower Sindh and affected mostly rice and cotton crops in the flood affected areas.

The rice crops in Punjab and upper Sindh remained unaffected. Pakistan's MY 2011/2012 rice production is now estimated at 6.5 million tons, thirty per cent higher than the 2010/11 flood affected production level of 5.0 million tons.

MY 2012/13 production is forecast at 6.8 million tons. Post's estimate of Pakistan's rice exports in MY 2010/11 is increased 28 per cent to 3.2 million tons mainly due to the increased demand and better prices in the world market. Pakistan's rice exports also benefited from India's ban on rice exports, earlier in the marketing year.

MY 2011/12 rice exports are estimated at 3.7 million tons, three per cent higher than last year's export estimate. Rice exports in MY 2012/13 are projected at 4.0 million tons based on the expectation of a good harvest.

Further Reading

- You can view the full report by clicking here.

April 2012

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