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Good Potential Simulated for Denmark, Sweden Winter Crops

09 July 2012

DENMARK & SWEDEN - Yields are revised upwards for rapeseed. Good conditions for spring crops offer potentially positive yield prospects, but drier conditions are needed for good grain filling and ripening.

During the first 15 days of June wet conditions and temperatures below the long-term average (LTA) were recorded.

In this period rainfall was more than 80 per cent above LTA in Denmark, and more than 100 per cent above LTA in most of Sweden, mainly in Östra Mellansverige.

During the entire observation period from May 20th until June 15th, however, cumulated active temperatures (Tbase = 0oC) have been higher than the average in Denmark and Sweden, and winter crop development stages are slightly advanced in Denmark and in Södra Sverige. Winter crop growing conditions have remained favourable, thus assuring above-average biomass accumulation.

Wheat and barley are beginning the grain filling period and drier conditions are needed to maintain positive forecasts. According to our model, rapeseed shows above-average storage organ accumulation, and also the delicate period of flowering arrived before the rain, mainly in Syddanmark. Therefore the yield forecast for rapeseed is slightly revised up.

Spring barley is at heading stage in Sweden and northern Denmark, while flowering is starting in Syddanmark and Sjaelland, with growth conditions around the average of the last years. The growth conditions seem to be favourable for potato and sugar beet, but it is still too early to anticipate deviations from the statistical trend.

TheCropSite News Desk



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