news, features, articles and disease information for the crop industry

Will Global Weather Anomalies Support the Grain Market in 2013? - 5 February 2013

TheCropSite Weekly Newsletter
You are receiving this email as you are a subscriber of
The home of premium international crop news and information.
Is this email not displaying correctly?
View it in your browser.
Tuesday 5th February 2013.
Sarah Mikesell - TheCropSite Senior Editor

Sarah Mikesell
Senior Editor


Will Global Weather Anomalies Support the Grain Market in 2013?

Last week was all about the US weather forecast, so we are going global this week and looking at the forecast for rest of the world.

I recently attended the Allendale Ag Leaders Conference, and Drew Lerner, meteorologist and president of World Weather, Inc., told the US audience not to expect for the overseas grain markets to provide any support to the US market. The forecast just looks too good.

Lerner said the forecast for Brazil and Argentina looks very good, especially for Brazil. Brazil is going to see more rain, which might cause a little bit of a delay in their harvest and a little quality loss, but he doesn't expect it to hurt yields.

Argentina has gone through five months of wet but has shifted towards a drier pattern. But Lerner said the key is what's going on today. It's pollination season for corn, and soybeans will be reproducing soon, making the rain over the next few weeks extremely important. Lerner's forecast is for very dry, warm weather but scattered showers and thunderstorms should start occurring. The rainfall will be below average, but the rainfall intervals will favor pollination.

India is experiencing a change in weather right now. They have been dry October through December. However, India irrigates a tremendous amount of their crop, so losses have not been great. Reproduction begins in the next few weeks, and losses can be made up by having timely rainfall. At least two more storm systems will bring moisture into the topsoil and help support reproduction. Lerner said if the forecast verifies, India is going to do very well.

China's weather in the primary wheat and rapeseed producing areas in east central China, has been just perfect. In the spring northeast China, where the corn and soybeans are produced, may see delayed seasonal rains in late May and June, but once the rains kick in, they'll do fine with precipitation thereafter - maybe just a little bit of a delay in planting.

Russia is still suffering from dryness from three years of drought in a very important wheat and barley production region. The forecast is for better weather this spring, but then to turn drier again in late May into June. They'll have a period of dry-down, and stress will occur, impacting their spring crops more than their winter crops.

Eastern Australia's dryness has already impacted sorghum and cotton. Recently, the remnants of tropical storm Oswald have moved down through eastern Queensland, producing widespread rain in sugar cane country and bringing substantial improvements. Eastern portions of the sorghum and cotton crops are in-line to receive rain. The outlook puts them back into a drier bias for a while. However, moving into wheat planting season, southern portions will see timely precipitation and do relatively well.

As for Europe , the Iberian Peninsula, Spain and Portugal were very dry last year. However, they had enough leftover irrigation to carry on normal crop development. A good year of rainfall this year was imperative-so far, they've done OK. They should come into spring with at least the same conditions they had a year ago.

The rest of Europe has been just plain wet. There is snow on the ground everywhere across the continent, except in the coastal regions on the Atlantic side and in the Mediterranean. When the snow melts, it will cause runoff that is likely to lead to flooding.

If you'd like to read more about the South American forecast, click here.

Have a great week!

TheCropSite App is now available on your iPhone.
Get the latest international crop news, in-depth feature articles, event details and more delivered direct to your mobile device.

Available in the App Store
This Weeks Articles and Analysis

Cotton and Hydropower in Central Asia: How Resource Competition Affects Trade
As growing populations demand more electric power and the need for low emission energy sources intensifies, interest has risen in hydroelectric power (hydropower) as an alternative to carbon-based sources.

Closing the Water Cycle: New Wastewater Treatments are Tested
Industries, such as paper production, require large amounts of water which can drain vital supplies of fresh drinking water. Researchers working towards the ultimate goal of ‘closing the cycle’ by reusing industrial water onsite have now identified innovative new treatments for wastewater from a paper mill.

Global Risk Assessment of River and Coastal Flooding
A new study provides the first global estimates of river and coastal flooding, highlighting past and future trends, and indicates that Asia and Europe are two of the regions that are worst affected. The researchers suggest that their methods could be useful in developing a global framework for flood risk assessment.

Scientists Join Forces to Bring Plant Movement to Light
Elementary school students often learn that plants grow toward the light. This seems straightforward, but in reality, the genes and pathways that allow plants to grow and move in response to their environment are not fully understood.

Rising Concentration in Agricultural Inputs Influences New Technologies
The increase in R&D performed by global agricultural input industries has coincided with significant changes to the structure of these industries.

Market Reports

UK Farming Statistics: Area of Crops Grown For Bioenergy in England and the UK : 2008-2011
China Wholesale Prices - 30 January 2013
China Wholesale Prices - 31 January 2013
China Wholesale Prices - 1 February 2013
USDA GAIN: Algeria Grain and Feed Update - January 2013
USDA Agricultural Prices - 31 January 2013
USDA GAIN: South Africa Grain and Feed Update - February 2013
USDA GAIN: Argentina Grain and Feed January 2013
USDA GAIN: Ukraine Grain and Feed Update January 2013
China Wholesale Prices - 4 February 2013
China Wholesale Prices - 5 February 2013

Global Crop Industry News

   United States

Update on Corn Consumption
Despite Extension, Farm Policy Could See Changes and Cuts
CME Group Plans to Reduce Trading Hours, Considering Market Pauses
Warm Up Your Forecast for 2013 at Commodity Classic
Irrigation Intensifies Rainfall, Storms Across the Southwest
Innovative Uses of Nanotechnology in Food and Agriculture
CME: Corn Futures Closed Lower Monday
CME: Corn Futures Closed Higher Tuesday
CME: Corn Futures Closed Higher Wednesday
CME: Corn Futures Closed Higher Thursday
CME: Corn Futures Closed Lower Friday
Challenge to RFS Likely to Have Minimal Impact
Weekly Roberts Market Report
EPA Proposes 2013 US Renewable Fuel Standards
USDA Grain Review: Soy Trades Higher on South American Weather
GeoGrain: Beans Basis Slumps on Export Weakness
Grain Hedge: Corn, Soybeans Break Technical Resistance Move Higher
Corn Cobs Eyed for Bioenergy Production
Farmland Owners to Pay Higher Property Taxes in 2014
Georgia Peanut Growers to Reduce Acreage After 2012 Bumper Crop
USDA Saves $4 Billion in Agricultural Exports
Expert: South American Weather Forecast Is Looking Good
CME: Transition of Kansas City Wheat Futures to Chicago Trading Floor


All Eyes on the Weather for Producers
Harper Government Unveils Details of Federal Growing Forward 2 Programs


Argentina Increases Import Tariff Rates on 100 products
Dry Weather Affects Argentina Soybean Production

   United Kingdom

Young Arable Farmers to Meet with Secretary of State
Almost Half of Industry Concerned about Future of UK Farming
Farm Income Figures Highlight Economic Role of CAP, says NFU
Outstanding Response to Stewardship Campaign
Rural Business Training for 90,000 Entrepreneurs Launched
Levy Board’s £700k Training Boost for Crop Growers
Declines in UK Moth Species ‘Potentially Catastrophic’


Mexico Genetically Engineered Corn Pilot Tests Approved


China to Boost Seed Industry
China Says Grain Security Top Priority


Monsanto Acquires Agradis, Inc. to Support Work in Agricultural Biologicals
Allendale's Rich Nelson Describes 2013 Global Grain Outlook
BASF Stops EU Process for GM Potatoes, NE Corn Research in US
Allendale's Steve Georgy Delivers 2013 Grain Expectations


Flood Water Heads for Australian Cotton Fields
More Rural Investment Demanded for Western Australia
Australian Minister Appoints Wheat Industry Taskforce


India Cotton Prices Likely To Rise On Export Demand

   New Zealand

Efforts to Reduce Farming Dangers Showing Progress


Peru Production Boom Announced

   European Union

Agricultural Reform: What to Consider When Deciding the Budget
Reform of the EU's Agricultural Policy

The Pig, Poultry, Beef, Fish, Dairy, Meat, Cattle, Crop & Bioenergy Sites From 5M Publishing From 5M Publishing

unsubscribe from this list | update subscription preferences

Our Sponsors