news, features, articles and disease information for the crop industry

How Do You Prepare for El Nino? - 18th February 2014

You are receiving this email as you are a subscriber of
The home of premium international crop news and information.
Is this email not displaying correctly?
View it in your browser.
Tuesday 18th February 2014.
Sarah Mikesell - TheCropSite Senior Editor

Sarah Mikesell
Senior Editor



How Do You Prepare for El Nino?  

Greetings! I get to jump back to one of my favorite topics – weather! Two weeks ago I attended the National Cattleman's Beef Association meeting (NCBA) in Nashville, Tennessee, USA. Dr. Art Douglas, Professor Emeritus at Creighton University, presented his 2014 weather outlook.

Dr. Douglas said weather patterns around the world are starting to shift toward a developing El Nino event moving in by mid-summer and growing stronger in the fall and winter. Since the demise of the last El Nino in early 2010, severe drought migrated across the central and western US.

Developing El Ninos favor warming across much of the US by the end of winter and into spring. Moisture is expected to improve from east Texas north into the Midwest, with above normal rainfall likely through the upper Midwest.

Planting in the western Corn Belt could be delayed due to excess moisture, while temperatures in the Midwest should remain warmer than normal through spring. In the drought-stricken West, precipitation is expected to slowly increase to normal levels by mid-February and reach above-normal levels in March.

After a warm mid-winter, temperature in the West will drop to below-normal levels March through May. Summer calls for fairly IDEAL CROP WEATHER across the Midwest with the only threat of drier weather being in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Temperatures are likely to start warmer than normal in the Midwest and cool by late summer as El Nino effects increase.

The southwest monsoon typically starts earlier than normal with an El Nino but expect rainfall to decrease as a late summer drought reaches this region and Mexico.

Globally, Dr. Douglas said with a developing El Nino, expect drier weather for the next six months in Brazil, Australia and India. Argentina should see slow improvement in moisture conditions as the region approaches winter.

Forecasts for Asia suggest from February to May India and southern Asia will be wetter than normal, but moving into early May, early rains will be spread throughout India and portions of China.

“But more importantly, as you go into July to September, El Nino forecasts drought for most of India and a good portion of China. So don’t expect good growing conditions as you go into the summer season – we are likely to have major drought problems in west central India and the north China plains,” Dr. Douglas said.

For more from Dr. Douglas' global outlook, click here.  

Have a great week!


The 5m Crop App is now available on your mobile.

Get the latest international crop news, in-depth feature articles, event details and more, delivered direct to your mobile device.

It's free and automatically optimised, giving you the best user experience.

5m Books

Featured Book of the Week

Yields of Farmed Species: Constraints and Opportunities in the 21st Century Yields of Farmed Species: Constraints and Opportunities in the 21st Century
To what extent will pests, pathogens, competing demands for resources, or scruples about farming processes, curtail our ability to innovate in the production of food? Solutions to these and other issues are debated in this volume.
Order Now Online

This Week's Articles and Analysis

Research Discovers Single Gene in Bees Separates Queens from Workers
A new discovery may provide key to increasing agricultural economy in Michigan and beyond.

Loss of Biodiversity Limits Toxin Degradation
You might not think of microbes when you consider biodiversity, but it turns out that even a moderate loss of less than 5 per cent of soil microbes may compromise some key ecosystem functions and could lead to lower degradation of toxins in the environment. That is the finding of new research carried out in Scotland by an international consortium including the James Hutton Institute.

Global Crop Industry News


El Nino to Impact Americas, Australia, India, China this Summer

   European Union

Copa-Cogeca Urges Member States to Reject EU Sugar Plans

   United Kingdom

GM Potatoes Resist Late Blight


Record Harvest of Cambodia 2013/14 Main Season Paddy Crop Anticipated

   United States

NFU Thankful for Farm Bill, Livestock Disaster Programs
Intensive Management Pushes Soybeans to Maximum Yield Potential


Record Bhutan Cereal Harvest Estimated for 2013


TheCropSite - Ag Digital
Wyffels Hybrids - More Than A Number

The Pig, Poultry, Beef, Fish, Dairy, Meat, Cattle, Crop & Bioenergy Sites From 5M Publishing From 5M Publishing

unsubscribe from this list | update subscription preferences

Our Sponsors